NFL

NFL 2026 · Regular season Week 15

What does Bears vs Bills change in the NFL playoff race?

Bears

Chicago Bears

7-2

8:20 PM ET

Scheduled

Bills

Buffalo Bills

6-1

Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET (Dec 20, 10:20 KST)Highmark Stadium

What's at stake

Current standings (135 games played league-wide) plus this one result, recomputed for all 32 teams in the AFC and NFC. Arithmetic, not odds. Interconference game: each result moves one team in each conference.

Bears win

Bills win

  • BillsMagic 8→7Division magic 8→7
  • BearsNFC #5→#6 seed
  • LionsNFC #6→#5 seed

Tie

  • BillsMagic 8→7Division magic 8→7
  • BearsMagic 7→6

Both teams going in

TeamSeedMagicTragicDivision magic
BearsNFC #5 seed · 7-257--
BillsAFC #1 seed · 6-118-8

Magic number = wins left to lock a top-7 seed (division magic: first place); tragic number = losses left until elimination. Ties count against the team in question (official tiebreakers such as head-to-head are not applied; equal records are ordered by BALLDONTLIE seed). How we calculate →

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Team records

Season records as listed by BALLDONTLIE.

New to the NFL?

  • Seed — seven teams per conference (AFC, NFC) make the playoffs. The four division winners take seeds 1–4 whatever their records; the best three of the rest take seeds 5–7.
  • Wild card — seeds 5–7, earned on record without winning the division. Only the No. 1 seed skips the first round (the Wild Card round).
  • Tie — a regular-season game still level after a 10-minute overtime ends as a tie, counted as half a win in winning percentage.
How we calculate →

Game data: BALLDONTLIE. Magic numbers, tragic numbers and seeds are computed by this site.