๐ NFL 2026
Scenario calculator
Pick a team and call its remaining games. You get the final record, the possible rank range, whether AFC/NFC top 7 by win % is guaranteed, and what rivals must do. Arithmetic, not probability.
Week 4 ยท
Does seventh in the conference mean a playoff place?
No. Division winners are seeded regardless of record, so a team with a better record can still miss out on a wild card.
Do these numbers use the official tiebreakers?
No. They use win percentage and games left only, and ties are resolved against the team in question, so a clinch may show later here than officially. Head-to-head and division records are not modelled.
AFC
Team
14 games left
Result
- Projected final
- 3-14 .176
- Possible rank
- 1โ16
To lock it in at this record, rivals must
- Buffalo Bills โ lose at least 14+ of their remaining games2
- Las Vegas Raiders โ lose at least 14+ of their remaining games3
- Cleveland Browns โ lose at least 13+ of their remaining games4
- Jacksonville Jaguars โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games5
- Baltimore Ravens โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games6
- Denver Broncos โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games7
NFC
Team
14 games left
Result
- Projected final
- 3-14 .176
- Possible rank
- 1โ16
To lock it in at this record, rivals must
- San Francisco 49ers โ lose at least 14+ of their remaining games2
- Philadelphia Eagles โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games3
- Detroit Lions โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games4
- Chicago Bears โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games5
- Seattle Seahawks โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games6
- New York Giants โ lose at least 14 of their remaining games7
Data: tallied from ESPN's public records. Standings and scenarios are computed by us and may differ from official releases.