Champions League · 2026-27
Round of 16, playoff and elimination scenarios — the points that settle it
Arithmetic, not probability: the minimum points that clinch regardless of every other result, and how many more losses make it mathematically impossible.
As of 2026-09-11, Paris Saint-Germain (3pts, 1W-0L) leads Champions League, with Bayern Munich second.
🔢 Round of 16, playoff and elimination scenarios — the points that settle it
Data: Naver Sports · · Method →
| # | Standings | Pts | Left | Pts to clinch 1st | To miss 1st | Pts to clinch top 8 | To miss top 8 | Pts to clinch playoff | To elimination | Possible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 5 | Como | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 9 | Lens | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 16 | AEK Athens | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | - | 19 | - | 1–36 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 21 | - | 1–36 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 21 | - | 1–36 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 21 | - | 1–36 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 21 | - | 1–36 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 22 | Lille | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 22 | Slavia Prague | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 25 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 25 | Inter Milan | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 27 | LASK | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 27 | Napoli | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 29 | Viking | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 31 | Porto | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 34 | Sabah | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | - | - | 1–36 |
Ranked by points (win 3, draw 1, loss 0). Ties are broken by goal difference, goals scored, away goals scored, wins, then away wins. Up to matchday 7 those are the only criteria, and clubs level on all of them share a rank, as in UEFA's own table (two clubs joint 6th are followed by 8th); within a shared rank they are listed alphabetically by UEFA short name. From matchday 8 the combined points, goal difference and goals scored of the league-phase opponents each club has played come next, and every club gets a rank of its own. UEFA's last two steps, disciplinary points and club coefficient, are not in our data, so alphabetical order stands in for them. · Arithmetic, not probability: the minimum points that clinch regardless of every other result, and how many more losses make it mathematically impossible.
❓ Frequently asked questions
How many clubs go straight to the Round of 16?
The top eight go straight to the Round of 16. Teams ranked 9th to 24th enter a two-legged playoff for the remaining Round of 16 places. Teams ranked 25th to 36th are eliminated. Ties are broken by goal difference, goals scored, away goals scored, wins and away wins; from matchday 8 the opponents' combined record also counts (UEFA regulations, Article 18).
How is the Champions League table ranked?
Ranked by points (win 3, draw 1, loss 0). Ties are broken by goal difference, goals scored, away goals scored, wins, then away wins. Up to matchday 7 those are the only criteria, and clubs level on all of them share a rank, as in UEFA's own table (two clubs joint 6th are followed by 8th); within a shared rank they are listed alphabetically by UEFA short name. From matchday 8 the combined points, goal difference and goals scored of the league-phase opponents each club has played come next, and every club gets a rank of its own. UEFA's last two steps, disciplinary points and club coefficient, are not in our data, so alphabetical order stands in for them.
This is an independent site, not affiliated with Champions League or any club. Standings and scenarios are computed automatically from published results and may differ from official figures. Data: aggregated by us from the public Naver Sports schedule feed.