Analysis

Serie A table 2026-27 after matchday 11: Lazio draw at Napoli and their title number of 81 is now every point left, Milan regain a top four number as Como lose theirs, the top four line falls to 105 and the safety bar to 89

As of the November 9 update, with round eleven complete and all 20 clubs on eleven matches with 27 left. Lazio drew 1-1 at Napoli and are still unbeaten on 29 points, but Inter beat Como 2-0 and are one behind, so Lazio's title number of 81 now needs every point left. The top four line fell from 106 to 105: Milan won 2-1 at Genoa and have a number again, while Como lost theirs. The safety bar fell from 92 to 89, and Parma, Sassuolo and Fiorentina kept their numbers because of it. Nothing is clinched or eliminated.

Clinch Desk · Wed, Nov 11

Lazio drew 1-1 at Napoli on November 8, Korean time. That makes nine wins and two draws from eleven matches, 29 points, 25 scored and 9 conceded, and they are still unbeaten. The next day Inter beat Como 2-0 and moved to 28, one behind. When our previous piece was written Lazio were three clear and could drop 2 of their points and still be sure of the title. Inter's ceiling is now 28 plus 81, 109, so Lazio still need 110 to be sure of finishing above them, and 29 plus 81 is exactly that: their title number of 81 is every point they have left. Roma beat Sassuolo 3-0 and are third on 27. Inter's and Roma's title tragic numbers are 27, every match they have left, Milan's and Como's 26 and Frosinone's 25.

Everything here is as of the November 9 update. One hundred and ten of the season's 380 matches are in, and all 20 clubs have played eleven and have 27 left, worth up to 81 points each. Round eleven ran from November 7 to November 9, Korean time, home side first: Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone, Venezia 2-1 Udinese and Torino 1-1 Lecce on the 7th, Parma 1-2 Bologna, Genoa 1-2 Milan, Roma 3-0 Sassuolo, Napoli 1-1 Lazio and Monza 0-1 Atalanta on the 8th, and Inter 2-0 Como and Fiorentina 2-2 Juventus on the 9th.

The top four line fell from 106 to 105. It sits one above the fourth highest ceiling among a club's rivals, and the highest ceiling below the top four is now fifth placed Como's 104, where it was Milan's 105 before. Lazio's 29 plus 76, Inter's 28 plus 77, Roma's 27 plus 78 and Milan's 24 plus 81 all come to 105. Of the 81 points left, Lazio can drop 5, Inter 4 and Roma 3, while Milan can drop none. Lazio could drop 6 before, Inter 3 and Roma 2. Roma have eight wins and three draws, and they and Lazio are still the only unbeaten clubs.

Our previous piece had Como gaining a top four number of 83 and Milan losing theirs. This round swapped them back. Milan won 2-1 at Genoa on November 8 and are fourth on 24 with a ceiling of 105, one above Como's, so they hold a number of 81, every point left. Como lost 2-0 at Inter, stay on 23 with a ceiling of 104, and four clubs can now finish above that, so their number is gone and they carry a top four tragic number of 27, every match they have left. Frosinone lost 1-0 at Cagliari and are sixth on 20, their tragic number down from 28 to 26. Juventus drew 2-2 at Fiorentina and are seventh on 18, and Bologna's 2-1 win at Parma took them to 17.

At the bottom, the total every safety number points at fell from 92 to 89. Three clubs go down, so the bar sits one above the third lowest ceiling, and the lowest three are now Udinese on 86, Venezia on 87 and Monza on 88. Venezia beat Udinese 2-1 on November 7 for their second win and are 19th on 6 points. Udinese are bottom on 5, with one win, two draws and eight defeats. Monza lost 1-0 at home to Atalanta and stay on 7. None of the three has a safety number, and all three carry a relegation tragic number of 27, every match they have left: Venezia's held at 27, and Udinese's and Monza's fell from 28.

Our previous piece also said that if Parma, Fiorentina or Sassuolo failed to win, they would keep a safety number only if the bar fell too. None of them won, and the bar did fall. Parma lost 2-1 at home to Bologna and Sassuolo lost 3-0 at Roma. Both stay on 8 with a ceiling of 89, exactly the bar, so their number went from 84 to 81, again every point left. Fiorentina drew 2-2 with Juventus, reached 9 points and a ceiling of 90, and their number went from 84 to 80, with 1 point to spare. Bologna's number fell from 78 to 72, and Genoa, beaten at home by Milan and still on 13, went from 79 to 76. Seventeen clubs carry a safety number, from Lazio's 60 up to the 81s of Parma and Sassuolo.

Nothing is clinched or eliminated. None of the six columns shows a zero, and every club can still finish anywhere from first to twentieth. The next round will not change that: after it the widest gap in the table can be 27 points, with 26 matches, 78 points, left for everyone. Round twelve runs from November 21 to November 24, Korean time: Como host Cagliari and Lazio host Lecce on the 21st, Sassuolo host Genoa, Bologna host Udinese, Juventus host Venezia, Parma host Roma and Napoli host Torino on the 22nd, Milan host Frosinone and Atalanta host Inter on the 23rd, and Monza host Fiorentina on the 24th. Lazio's title number and Milan's top four number are both every point left. A Lazio draw would leave them on 108 at most, so they would keep a title number only if Inter and Roma both fail to win as well. A Milan draw would leave them on 103 at most, so they would keep theirs only if Como also fail to beat Cagliari.

How to read these numbers. A clinch number is the minimum a club must still collect for an outcome to be guaranteed even if every rival wins every remaining match. A tragic number is how many more defeats make an outcome impossible even if the club wins everything else. A reachable range is the highest and the lowest finish still arithmetically open. A rival who can only draw level still counts as a threat to a clinch, while a rival has to finish clearly above a club to eliminate it. Goal difference, head to head records and the league's tiebreakers are not part of the calculation. The table is at, the remaining fixtures at, the qualification and relegation rules at, every club's numbers at and the method at. Club pages: Lazio, Inter, Roma, Milan and Como. To try results yourself, use.

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