Analysis

Premier League table 2026-27 after matchday 10: Arsenal go five clear with a title number of 80, Liverpool take Chelsea's top four number after Sunderland beat Chelsea 1-0, the line falls to 101 and the safety bar to 93

As of the November 9 update, with round ten complete and all 20 clubs on ten matches with 28 left. Arsenal beat Hull City 1-0 while Manchester City lost 3-1 at Nottingham Forest, so Arsenal are five clear of Brighton on 27 and their title number fell from 85 to 80. Chelsea lost 1-0 at Sunderland and Liverpool won 3-1 at Crystal Palace, so the fourth top four number moved to Liverpool, 83 with 1 point to spare. The top four line fell from 103 to 101 and the safety bar from 95 to 93, where Forest gained a safety number and Manchester United, Sunderland and Palace all carry a relegation tragic number. Nothing is clinched or eliminated.

Clinch Desk · Wed, Nov 11

Arsenal beat Hull City 1-0 at home on November 8, Korean time. They have nine wins and a defeat from ten matches, 27 points, 15 scored and 5 conceded. On the same day Manchester City lost 3-1 at Nottingham Forest, and Brighton beat Brentford 2-0 to move into second on 22, with City third on 21. A week ago Arsenal led by three with a title number of 85. Now the highest ceiling among their rivals is Brighton's 22 plus 84, 106, so Arsenal are sure to finish above everyone at 107, which is 27 plus 80. Of the 84 points they have left they may drop 4, up from 2 in our previous piece. City's title tragic number went from 29 to 27 and Brighton's from 28 to 27, and Liverpool's is 26.

Everything here is as of the November 9 update. One hundred of the season's 380 matches are in, and all 20 clubs have played ten and have 28 left, worth up to 84 points each. The round ran from November 7 to November 9, Korean time, home side first: Everton 3-1 Coventry and Leeds 1-0 Tottenham on the 7th, Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea, Arsenal 1-0 Hull City, Fulham 1-1 Newcastle, Crystal Palace 1-3 Liverpool, Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City and Brighton 2-0 Brentford on the 8th, and Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa on the 9th.

The fourth top four number changed hands for the third week running. Last time it was Chelsea's, 87, every point they had left, and they went to the bottom club. Sunderland beat them 1-0, Chelsea stayed on 16 and lost the number, and their top four tragic number is now 28, every match they have left. Liverpool won 3-1 at Palace, rose from 15 points to 18 and fourth place, and their tragic number of 29 has become a top four number of 83. Everton beat Coventry 3-1 and are level with Chelsea on 16, also with a tragic number of 28.

The line fell from 103 to 101. It has to clear the highest ceiling below the top four, and a rival who can only finish level still counts. That ceiling is now 100, shared by Chelsea and Everton, 16 plus 84, so one above it is 101. Arsenal's 27 plus 74, Brighton's 22 plus 79, City's 21 plus 80 and Liverpool's 18 plus 83 all come to it. Of the 84 points each has left, Arsenal may drop 10, Brighton 5, City 4 and Liverpool 1. Arsenal's margin went from 8 to 10 and Brighton's from 3 to 5, while City's went from 5 to 4. Bournemouth won 2-1 at Ipswich and are seventh on 15 with a ceiling of 99, and Leeds, who beat Tottenham, and Brentford are on 14.

At the bottom, the total every safety number points at fell from 95 to 93. Three clubs go down, so the bar sits one above the third lowest ceiling, and the lowest are now Crystal Palace on 91 and Manchester United and Sunderland on 92. All three have no safety number and a relegation tragic number of 28, every match they have left. Sunderland's win over Chelsea took them from 5 points to 8, and their number went from 29 to 28. Manchester United drew 4-4 with Aston Villa and are on 8 too. Last time they had no tragic number, but with Forest and Coventry now on 9, seventeen clubs are above their 8. Palace lost to Liverpool, stayed on 7 and are bottom, and where last time they had no tragic number, they now have one too.

Nottingham Forest went the other way. Their 3-1 win over City took them from 6 points to 9 and a ceiling of 93, level with the bar, so a relegation tragic number of 29 became a safety number of 84, every point they have left. Coventry lost 3-1 at Everton and stayed on 9, and their number went from 86 to 84, also every point left. If either fails to win next time, a draw already leaves them at 91, below today's bar, and they keep a number only if the bar falls too. Fulham drew with Newcastle and their 86 became 83. Bournemouth's win took their 83 to 78, and Tottenham lost but still went from 83 to 81 as the bar came down. Seventeen clubs carry a safety number, one more than a week ago, from Arsenal's 66 up to the 84s of Forest and Coventry.

Nothing is settled at either end. No club has a zero in any of the six columns, and every club can still finish anywhere from first to twentieth. The next round cannot change that: after it the widest gap in the table can be 23 points, with 27 matches, 81 points, left for everyone.

The next round comes twelve days after the last one and runs from November 21 to November 24, Korean time. Manchester City host Fulham on the 21st. On November 22 Aston Villa host Sunderland, Chelsea host Leeds, Bournemouth host Nottingham Forest, Tottenham host Ipswich, Hull City host Brighton, Coventry host Crystal Palace and Newcastle host Arsenal. Liverpool host Manchester United on the 23rd and Brentford host Everton on the 24th. Liverpool can drop only 1 point, so a draw would leave their ceiling at 100, below today's line, and they would keep the number only if the line fell too. Coventry, whose number is every point they have left, host the bottom club.

How to read these numbers. A clinch number is the minimum a club must still collect for an outcome to be guaranteed even if every rival wins every remaining match. A tragic number is how many more defeats make an outcome impossible even if the club wins everything else. A reachable range is the highest and the lowest finishing place still arithmetically open. On ties, a rival who can only draw level with a club is still counted as a threat to it, so our clinch can trail an official announcement by a day, while in the other direction a rival has to finish clearly above a club to eliminate it. Goal difference, head to head records and the league's own tiebreakers are not part of the calculation. The table is at, the remaining fixtures at, the qualification and relegation rules at, every club's numbers at, the method at, and a single club's lines on its own page: Arsenal, Brighton, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Sunderland. To run the next round's results through yourself, use.

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