📅 Analysis

K League 2 fixtures October 9 to 11 - eight matches, a three week wait, and Daegu do not play

The league is idle until October 9. Eight matches cover sixteen of the seventeen clubs and fourth placed Daegu sit the round out on 46 points. Nobody can clinch a top five place in this block: the smallest clinch number is Suwon's 7 and no club plays twice.

Clinch Desk · Mon, Sep 21

K League 2 does not play again until October 9. The last results were on September 19 and 20, so the table stands untouched for close to three weeks. When it resumes, eight matches across three days cover sixteen of the seventeen clubs. Daegu, fourth on 46 points with a clinch number of 14, are the club with no fixture, and they will end the round on the same 46 they hold now.

Every figure here is as of the September 20 update, which had 216 of the season's 272 matches complete and 56 left. Clinch numbers assume the worst case, that every rival takes maximum points from every fixture it has left. Nothing below is a prediction of a result. It is a list of what each result would move.

The one fixture inside the promotion places is Hwaseong at Suwon FC on October 9. Suwon FC are second on 48 with seven matches left and a clinch number of 12. Hwaseong are fifth on 44 with six left and a clinch number of 16, the tightest in the top five. A Suwon FC win takes them to 51 and leaves Hwaseong on 44 with five matches to find 16 points, which five matches cannot produce. A Hwaseong win takes them to 47, above Daegu's idle 46 and one behind Seoul E-Land. A draw leaves 49 and 45.

Seoul E-Land visit Gimpo on October 9. Seoul E-Land are third on 48 with six left and need 12. Gimpo are seventh on 35 with seven left, a ceiling of 56 and a tragic number of 5, the second longest rope below the line. A Gimpo defeat drops their ceiling from 56 to 53 and leaves six matches to cover a gap that starts thirteen points wide against the club they are playing. A Gimpo win takes them to 38 and keeps a ceiling of 56 with six matches.

Busan travel to Paju on October 10. Busan are sixth on 41 with six left, a ceiling of 59 and a tragic number of 6, which means only losing all six ends them, and this would be the first of the six. Paju are eleventh on 29 with seven left, a ceiling of 50 and a tragic number of 3. Along with Seongnam at Chungbuk Cheongju, it is one of only two fixtures in the round between clubs that both sit below the promotion places and are both still arithmetically alive for them.

The rest of the round works on the lower half. Seongnam, tenth on 31 with a tragic number of 3, visit Chungbuk Cheongju, twelfth on 29 with a tragic number of 2, on October 9. Then on October 10, Yongin visit Jeonnam, Gyeongnam visit Cheonan, and Chungnam Asan visit Gimhae. All three of those send a club that is still alive to a club that is already out, and in each case the visitor is the one with something to lose: Yongin on 27 with a tragic number of 2, Gyeongnam on 34 with 4, Chungnam Asan on 34 with 4.

Ansan at Suwon on October 11 closes the block. Suwon are on 53 with sixteen wins and a league low 20 conceded. Ansan are fifteenth on 22 with a minus 22 goal difference and a tragic number of 0. A Suwon win takes them to 56. It cannot finish the job, and neither can anything else in this round: the smallest clinch number on the board is Suwon's 7, and no club plays more than once, so three points is the most anyone can add. The earliest any top five place is settled is the round after this one.

How to read these numbers. A clinch number is the smallest further return in league points that guarantees an outcome even if every rival takes maximum points from here. A tragic number is the count of further defeats after which the outcome is impossible, counted with every rival frozen on the points it holds today, so zero means it is already decided and a blank means the outcome cannot yet be taken away. Level clubs are separated by goal difference, then goals scored, then wins, none of which this arithmetic models, so nothing is ever settled on a tie: a rival who can still draw level with you blocks your clinch, and a rival you can only draw level with does not eliminate you. That is also why our clinch can trail an official announcement by a day. The full fixture list is at, the live table at, the promotion and tie rules at, and lets you put results into these eight matches and watch every number move.

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