Aichi-Nagoya 2026 Asian Games · Baseball

Asian Games baseball — Super Round qualification scenarios

Four teams per group play a round robin and the top two advance to the Super Round. With so few games left we enumerate every remaining win/loss combination instead of estimating probabilities.

South Korea open their group on Mon, Sep 21 against Chinese Taipei.

🇰🇷 Group B — standings & scenarios

#TeamW-LLeftAdvance inStatus
1🇹🇼Chinese Taipei0-0338/64Win out to clinch
2🇰🇷South Korea0-0338/64Win out to clinch
3🇭🇰Hong Kong0-0338/64Win out to clinch
4🇹🇭Thailand0-0338/64Win out to clinch

The top 2 teams advance to the Super Round. 'Advance in' counts the remaining win/loss combinations in which the team goes through. Ties are broken by head-to-head then TQB, so a team is marked clinched only if it advances even after losing every tiebreak.

Group A — standings & scenarios

#TeamW-LLeftAdvance inStatus
1🇯🇵Japan0-0338/64Win out to clinch
2🇨🇳China0-0338/64Win out to clinch
3🇵🇭Philippines0-0338/64Win out to clinch
4🇵🇸Palestine0-0338/64Win out to clinch

The top 2 teams advance to the Super Round. 'Advance in' counts the remaining win/loss combinations in which the team goes through. Ties are broken by head-to-head then TQB, so a team is marked clinched only if it advances even after losing every tiebreak.

🗓️ Group stage schedule & results

Mon, Sep 21

12:00APhilippines@Palestine
12:00BHong Kong@Thailand
18:30AJapan@China
18:30BChinese Taipei@South Korea

Tue, Sep 22

12:00AChina@Philippines
12:00BThailand@Chinese Taipei
18:30APalestine@Japan
18:30BSouth Korea@Hong Kong

Wed, Sep 23

12:00APhilippines@Japan
12:00BThailand@South Korea
18:30APalestine@China
18:30BHong Kong@Chinese Taipei

Super Round & medal games

Super Round on 25-26 September (top two from each group, four teams), then on 27 September the bronze medal game at 12:00 and the gold medal game at 18:30.

Times are Korea Standard Time (KST), which matches Japan Standard Time.

🪜 Tournament format

  1. 1.Eight nations are split into two groups. Group A: Japan, China, Philippines, Palestine. Group B: Chinese Taipei, South Korea, Hong Kong, Thailand.
  2. 2.Each group is a four-team round robin — three games per team (21-23 September).
  3. 3.The top two from each group, four teams in all, reach the Super Round (25-26 September).
  4. 4.On 27 September the Super Round's third and fourth play for bronze; first and second play for gold.
  5. 5.Baseball has no draws — extra innings decide. Group ties are broken by head-to-head record, then TQB (Team Quality Balance).

FAQ

How many teams advance from the Asian Games baseball groups?

The top 2 from each group, four teams in total, reach the Super Round.

Which group is South Korea in?

South Korea are in Group B with Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong and Thailand. Group A is Japan, China, the Philippines and Palestine.

When is South Korea's first game?

On Mon, Sep 21, against Chinese Taipei.

What does South Korea need to reach the Super Round?

South Korea open their group on Mon, Sep 21 against Chinese Taipei.

Groups and schedule from Wikipedia 'Baseball at the 2026 Asian Games' and the Japan Baseball Association tournament overview. This event has no public data feed, so results are entered by the operator and the qualification scenarios are computed automatically on top of them.